Russia Analytical Report, Dec. 13, 2021-Jan. 3, 2022 – Russia Matters

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“Good News from the Russian Front,” Graham Allison, The National Interest, 12.24.21. The author, the Douglas Dillon Professor of Government at Harvard University, writes:
“Russia-Ukraine conflict: America needs a better idea than NATO expansion to keep the peace,” Michael E. O’Hanlon, USA Today/Brookings Institution, 12.14.21. The author, a senior fellow and director of research in foreign policy at the Brookings Institution,
“Russia’s draft agreements with NATO and the United States: Intended for rejection?,” Steven Pifer, Brookings Institution, 12.21.21. The author, a nonresident senior fellow at Brookings, writes:
“The Berlin Crisis, Ukraine and the 5 Percent Problem,” Sergey Radchenko, War on the Rocks, 12.22.21. The author, the Wilson E. Schmidt Distinguished Professor at the Henry A. Kissinger Center for Global Affairs at Johns Hopkins University, writes:
“Strategic Ambiguity and the Risk of War with Russia over Ukraine,” Ralph Clem and Ray Finch, War on the Rocks, 12.29.21. The authors, a senior fellow at the Steven J. Green School of International and Public Affairs and a Eurasian military analyst for the Foreign Military Studies Office at Fort Leavenworth, Kansas, write:
“A twin-track strategy to deter Vladimir Putin: Security negotiations with Russia must have strict conditions,” Editorial Board, Financial Times, 12.29.21. The news outlet’s editorial board writes:
“What Putin Really Wants in Ukraine. Russia Seeks to Stop NATO’s Expansion, Not to Annex More Territory,” Dmitri Trenin, Foreign Affairs, 12.28.21. The author, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, writes:
“Can Russia and NATO Come to an Agreement?” Vladimir Frolov, Carnegie Moscow Center, 12.22.21. The author, an expert on international relations, writes:
“The West Is Unlikely to Accept Russia’s NATO Demands—and the Kremlin Knows It,” Fyodor Lukyanov, The Moscow Times, 12.20.21. The author, editor-in-chief of Russia in Global Affairs and chairman of the Presidium of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy, writes:
“An Existential Threat to Europe’s Security Architecture? Anatoly Antonov, Foreign Policy, 12.30.21. The author, Russia’s ambassador to the U.S., writes:
“The Real Crisis of Global Order,” Alexander Cooley and Daniel H. Nexon, Foreign Affairs, January-February 2022. The authors, the director of Columbia University’s Harriman Institute and a professor in the department of government at the Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University, write:
“What Putin Learned From the Soviet Collapse: To Preserve Its Global Ambitions, Russia Is Managing Its Economic Limits,” Richard Connolly and Michael Kofman, Foreign Affairs, 12.29.21. The authors, an associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute and the research program director of the Russia studies program at the Center for Naval Analyses, write:
“What Putin, Xi and Khamenei Want,” Aaron MacLean, The Wall Street Journal, 12.27.21. The author, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, writes:
“The Great Military Rivalry: China vs the U.S.,” Graham Allison and Jonah Glick-Unterman, The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, 12.16.21. The authors, the Douglas Dillon Professor of Government at Harvard University and a research assistant at the Harvard Kennedy School, write:
“2022 Is the Year for a Space Summit,” W. Robert Pearson and Benjamin L. Schmitt, Foreign Policy, 01.01.22. The authors, a fellow in the Rethinking Diplomacy Program at Duke University’s Center for International and Global Studies and a postdoctoral research fellow at Harvard University, write:
“Neighbors, Partners, Competitors: Drivers and Limitations of China-Russia Relations,” Alexander Gabuev, Carnegie Moscow Center, 12.31.21. The author, a senior fellow and the chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific program at the Carnegie Moscow Center, writes:
“The Xi-Putin Entente Rises,” Editorial Board, The Wall Street Journal, 12.16.21. The news outlet’s editorial board writes:
“The Ice Age: Russia and China’s Energy Cooperation in the Arctic,” Vita Spivak and Alexander Gabuev, Carnegie Moscow Center, 12.31.21. The authors, an analyst at Control Risks and a senior fellow and the chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific program at the Carnegie Moscow Center, write:
“Post-Pandemic, Russia and China Must Improve Migration Governance,” Yanliang Pan, Carnegie Moscow Center, 12.24.21. The author, an MA candidate at Georgetown University’s Center for Eurasian, Russian and East European Studies, writes:
“US-Russia Strategic Stability Dialogue: Purpose, Progress, Challenges and Opportunities,” Leonor Tomero, Russia Matters, 12.15.21. The author, a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Nuclear and Missile Defense Policy, writes:
“America’s Cyber-Reckoning. How to Fix a Failing Strategy,” Sue Gordon and Eric Rosenbach, Foreign Affairs, January/February 2022. The authors, a senior fellow and the co-director of the Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center, write:
“The End of Cyber-Anarchy?” Joseph S. Nye Jr., Foreign Affairs, January/February 2022. The author, University Distinguished Service Professor Emeritus at and former dean of the Harvard Kennedy School, writes:
“The Case for Cyber-Realism,” Dmitri Alperovitch, Foreign Affairs, January/February 2022. The author, co-founder and chair of Silverado Policy Accelerator and co-founder and former chief technology officer of the cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike, writes:
“How Western tech companies are helping Russia to censor the Internet,” Andrei Soldatov and Irina Borogan, The Washington Post, 12.21.21. The co-authors of “The Red Web: The Struggle Between Russia’s Digital Dictators and the New Online Revolutionaries” write:
“U.S. Catches Kremlin Insider Who May Have Secrets of 2016 Hack,” Henry Meyer, Irina Reznik and Hugo Miller, Bloomberg, 01.03.22. Bloomberg reports that:
“Green Upheaval. The New Geopolitics of Energy,” Jason Bordoff and Meghan L. O’Sullivan, Foreign Affairs, January/February 2022. The authors, founding director of the Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs and the Jeane Kirkpatrick Professor of the Practice of International Affairs at the Harvard Kennedy School, write:
“What the US Misunderstands About Russia,” Nina L. Khrushcheva, Project Syndicate, 12.28.21. The author, a professor of international affairs at The New School, writes:
“The Cold War is over. Why do we still treat Russia like the Evil Empire?” Joseph Weisberg, The Washington Post, 12.17.21. The author of “Russia Upside Down: An Exit Strategy for the Second Cold War” writes:
“The limits of US sanctions in dealing with Russia are becoming clear,” Megan Greene,  Financial Times, 12.16.21. The author, a senior fellow at the Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government at Harvard Kennedy School, writes:
“Stopping international corruption begins here at home,” Frank Vogl, The Boston Globe, 12.30.21. The author, a former World Bank official, writes:
“How the Media Got Russiagate Wrong,” George Beebe, The National Interest, 12.31.21. The author, vice president and director of studies at the Center for the National Interest, writes:
 
“In Closing Memorial, Russia Heralds a New, Grimmer Era of Repression,” Rachel Denber, The Moscow Times, 12.29.21. The author, deputy Europe and Central Asia director at Human Rights Watch, writes:
“Putin’s attempt to control the past follows the Xi model,” Gideon Rachman, Financial Times, 01.03.22. The author, chief foreign affairs columnist for the news outlet, writes:
“The Derailment of Memorial’s Goals – for Now,” Mark Kramer, The Moscow Times, 01.02.21. The author, director of the Cold War Studies Project at Harvard’s Davis Center, writes:
“In Putin’s Russia, the Past Is Never Past,” Alexander Baunov, Foreign Policy, 12.20.21. The author, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Moscow Center and editor in chief of Carnegie.ru, writes:
“Fact-Check: Is Russia’s Economy ‘Nuclear Weapons and Oil Wells and Nothing Else,’ as Biden Claimed?” RM Staff, Russia Matters, 12.28.21. The authors write:
“Russia’s Discouraging Demographics Shouldn’t Change US Approach,” Alexandra Vacroux, Russia Matters, 12.21.21. The author, executive director of the Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies and a lecturer on government at Harvard University, writes:
“The Changing Face of Russian Counter-Irregular Warfare,” Benjamin Arbitter and Kurt Carlson, War on the Rocks, 12.21.21. The authors, Army Special Forces officers, write:
 
“Difficult Relations with Moscow. German Policy towards Russia Must Be More Carefully Calibrated,” Sabine Fischer, SWP, December 2021. The author, a senior fellow at SWP, writes:
“COVID-19 ‘Humanitarianism’: The Geopolitics of Russia’s Coronavirus Assistance,” Mariya Omelicheva, PONARS Eurasia, 12.13.21. The author, a professor of national security strategy at the National War College, writes:
“Why Moscow Sees Biden As the Key to Avoiding War in Ukraine,” Jacob Heilbrunn, National Interest, 01.01.22. The author, editor of the National Interest, writes:
“It’s an open secret there’s no NATO plan for Ukraine. Why not just tell Putin?” David Von Drehle, The Washington Post, 12.17.21. The author, a columnist for the news outlet, writes:
Graham Allison in “Russian Troops Near Ukraine’s Border: How Should the West Respond?” Survey of Experts at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School, 12.16.21.
“Air strikes or invasion: what are Putin’s military options for Ukraine?,” Max Seddon, Financial Times, 12.29.21. The author, Moscow bureau chief for the news outlet, writes:
“Why the Stalemate in Eastern Ukraine Will Likely Hold,” Katharine Quinn-Judge, Foreign Affairs, 12.15.21. The author, a consulting senior analyst for Ukraine at the International Crisis Group, writes:
“Is a War Over Ukraine Inevitable?” Dov S. Zakheim, The National Interest, 12.22.21. The author, a former U.S. undersecretary of defense (comptroller), writes:
“Putin’s Likely Course of Action in Ukraine,” Frederick W. Kagan, Nataliya Bugayova, George Barros, Kateryna Stepanenko and Mason Clark, ISW, December 2021. The authors of the report write:
“Ukraine stood with the West in 2014. Today we must stand with Ukraine,” Rob Portman and Jeanne Shaheen, The Washington Post, 12.24.21. The authors, U.S. senators, write:
“Phoney peace fails to break Armenia-Azerbaijan deadlock,” Laurence Broers, Chatham House, 12.15.21. The author, an associate fellow at Chatham House, writes:
“Why Russia Sees Little Threat in China’s Growing Involvement in Tajikistan,” Temur Umarov, Carnegie Moscow Center, 12.31.21. The author, a research consultant at Carnegie Moscow Center, writes:

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